Global Warming Myths Blog

A cold snap is predicted for the east coast later this week and weekend. From

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html
CONTD SIG AGRICULTURAL THREAT TO MID ATLC PEACH
CROP WITH LOW TEMPS IN THE 20S

The last such damage occured in 1985, a much colder year according to this data: ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/anomalies/
monthly.land_and_ocean.90S.90N.df_1901-2000mean.dat

1985 was also a low sunspot number year although on the downslope and not the trough like this year. Joe D’Aleo predicted a climate shift based on the lower peak in 2000:

QUIETER, LONGER SOLAR CYCLE NUMBER 23 COULD SIGNAL SIGNIFICANT CLIMATE SHIFT Looking at the data in the ftp link above, his prediction might be wrong or just premature. But I don’t think it’s coincidental that this late season cold is corresponding to low or nonexistant sunspots. Perhaps some phenomenon related to the sunspots allows polar air to filter down with less moderation such as cloud increases caused by diminishing solar magnetic field. It’s possible that this could affect the weather without a significant effect on the climate since the effect might not be global or uniform.

Global Warming Myths
Made some changes tonight to reflect my better understanding of the Stefan-Boltzmann oversimplification (although I didn’t call it that in the web page). I also added a bit to the oversimplified models section trying to point out that equating CO2 with warming with no cost considerations is yet another oversimplification.